NEVADA | PROFESSIONAL EXPERIENCE

Program Professional Framework

Financial Analysis Modeling and Forecasting

Program Overview

Forecasts are only as good as the analysis behind them. «Financial Analysis Modeling and Forecasting» connects the two: participants first diagnose historical performance using common-size statements, ratio analysis and DuPont decomposition, then translate their findings into driver-based forecasts of revenue, costs, working capital and capex. The programme covers statistical and trend techniques, integrated three-statement forecasts, scenario and sensitivity analysis and the communication of forecast ranges to decision makers, using data from GCC listed companies and corporate budgets.

Learning Outcomes

✓Analyse historical performance using common-size statements, ratio trends and DuPont decomposition.
✓Identify the key value drivers of a business and translate them into forecasting assumptions.
✓Apply trend, moving-average and regression techniques to forecast revenue and costs.
✓Build an integrated forecast of the income statement, balance sheet and cash flow.
✓Run base, upside and downside scenarios and quantify their impact on liquidity and covenants.
✓Measure forecast accuracy and explain variances against previous forecasts.

Target Audience

Financial analysts and FP&A specialists
Corporate finance and investment analysts
Credit analysts in banks and financial institutions
Budget and planning managers

Detailed Program Modules

01Analysing Historical Performance

Common-size and trend analysis
Profitability, liquidity, efficiency and leverage ratios
DuPont analysis of return on equity

02Quality of Earnings and Cash Flow

Adjusting for one-off and non-cash items
Cash conversion and free cash flow analysis
Red flags in reported results

03Forecasting Techniques

Trend, moving average and seasonality
Regression and correlation with business drivers
Judgmental and driver-based forecasting

04Building an Integrated Forecast

Revenue and cost drivers
Working capital and capex schedules
Debt, interest and balancing the balance sheet

05Scenarios and Sensitivities

Scenario design and assumptions
Sensitivity tables and tornado charts
Covenant and liquidity headroom testing

06Using and Communicating Forecasts

Forecast accuracy metrics
Rolling forecasts and re-forecasting
Presenting forecast ranges to management

Training Methodology

Interactive expert-led sessions grounded in workplace examples

Case studies and practical exercises drawn from the region

Group workshops with peer review of decisions and deliverables

Formative feedback against clear performance criteria

Applied Project & Assessment

Applied Project

Participants analyse five years of financial statements of a GCC listed company, identify its key drivers and build a three-year integrated forecast with base, upside and downside scenarios, closing with a management briefing on risks to liquidity.

Assessment

Short diagnostic at the start, practical tasks linked to each learning outcome, and evaluation of the applied project against published criteria.

University Certificate & International Accreditation

Professional Certificate accredited by City University Malaysia in Financial Analysis Modeling and Forecasting

International accreditation: International Auditors Group (IAG)