Strategic Thinking and Planning – CPE
- Identify common cognitive biases in strategic decisions and apply debiasing techniques such as pre-mortems and red teaming.
- Detect weak signals and trends and assess their potential strategic impact.
- Build a two-axis scenario matrix based on critical uncertainties and derive strategic implications.
- Frame a strategic issue as testable hypotheses and design the analysis to confirm or reject them.
- Translate strategic insights into a prioritised plan with explicit assumptions and trigger points for review.
- The Strategic Mindset
- Operational versus strategic thinking
- Long-term, systemic and opportunity-focused perspectives
- Self-assessment of strategic thinking habits
- Thinking Tools and Cognitive Traps
- Hypothesis-driven problem solving
- Cognitive biases in strategic judgement
- Pre-mortems, red teams and devil's advocacy
- Sensing the Future
- Trends, megatrends and weak signals
- Critical uncertainty analysis
- Scenario development and implications
- Making Strategic Choices
- The strategy choice cascade
- Evaluating options under uncertainty
- Assumption-based planning
- Building the Strategic Plan
- Objectives, priorities and resource allocation
- Signposts and trigger points for adjustment
- Linking the plan to budgets and KPIs
- Communicating and Defending Strategy
- Structuring strategic recommendations
- Presenting to executives and boards
- Handling challenge and revising the plan
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Program Professional Framework
Strategic Thinking and Planning – CPE
Program Overview
Good strategic plans depend on the quality of thinking behind them. This programme first develops the mental habits of strategic thinkers: taking a long-term and systemic view, questioning assumptions, recognising patterns and weak signals, reasoning from hypotheses and avoiding cognitive biases that distort judgement. It then channels that thinking into a disciplined planning process, using tools such as scenario planning, the strategy choice cascade, critical uncertainty matrices and assumption-based planning. Participants practise on realistic dilemmas faced by Gulf organisations, such as economic diversification, technology disruption and changing customer expectations, and learn to present strategic recommendations persuasively.
Learning Outcomes
- ✓Identify common cognitive biases in strategic decisions and apply debiasing techniques such as pre-mortems and red teaming.
- ✓Detect weak signals and trends and assess their potential strategic impact.
- ✓Build a two-axis scenario matrix based on critical uncertainties and derive strategic implications.
- ✓Frame a strategic issue as testable hypotheses and design the analysis to confirm or reject them.
- ✓Translate strategic insights into a prioritised plan with explicit assumptions and trigger points for review.
Target Audience
- Managers moving from operational to strategic roles
- Strategy, planning and policy analysts
- Finance and business partners supporting leadership decisions
- Department heads contributing to corporate planning
Detailed Program Modules
01The Strategic Mindset
- Operational versus strategic thinking
- Long-term, systemic and opportunity-focused perspectives
- Self-assessment of strategic thinking habits
02Thinking Tools and Cognitive Traps
- Hypothesis-driven problem solving
- Cognitive biases in strategic judgement
- Pre-mortems, red teams and devil's advocacy
03Sensing the Future
- Trends, megatrends and weak signals
- Critical uncertainty analysis
- Scenario development and implications
04Making Strategic Choices
- The strategy choice cascade
- Evaluating options under uncertainty
- Assumption-based planning
05Building the Strategic Plan
- Objectives, priorities and resource allocation
- Signposts and trigger points for adjustment
- Linking the plan to budgets and KPIs
06Communicating and Defending Strategy
- Structuring strategic recommendations
- Presenting to executives and boards
- Handling challenge and revising the plan
Training Methodology
Applied Project & Assessment
Applied Project
Participants analyse a strategic issue facing their organisation, documenting key assumptions and biases, a scenario matrix with implications, a recommended choice and a short strategic plan with signposts, then present it to a peer panel acting as an executive committee.
Assessment
Short diagnostic at the start, practical tasks linked to each learning outcome, and evaluation of the applied project against published criteria.


